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Index base value of 100 = June 2005
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Population density (pop./km2)  
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Average household income  
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CMA profile and table data are based on 2011 Census Data
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Teranet–National Bank House Price Index™

An independent representation of the rate of change of Canadian single-family home prices.
Index
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Post Category: Monthly Reports
November 15, 2018
Home price index down in October in all component markets except Montreal

In October the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price IndexTM was down 0.4% from the previous month.[1] An October decline is not the norm – this was only the fourth in 20 years of index history. It was also the first index decline in eight months. The most striking aspect of the retreat is its […]

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Post Category: Research
November 15, 2018
Housing affordability worsens again in Q3 2018

In Q3, affordability worsened in no less than 9 out of ten urban markets which explains the
13th consecutive deterioration of our urban composite index. Expensive housing markets
such as Vancouver and Toronto slowed down markedly in 2018 and home prices even
declined in Q3 due to the combined effect of rising mortgage rates (up for a fifth consecutive
quarter) and macro prudential measures. Despite lower home prices, homebuyer
affordability failed to improve as wages were down in those markets (left chart). Elsewhere,
Montreal and Ottawa-Gatineau experienced the sharpest deteriorations in affordability
among urban centers in Q3 but for another reason: home prices surged respectively by 2.1%
and 2.5% Q/Q. These markets appear to be unaffected by rising interest rates and tighter
credit standards as shown by resale market conditions being strongly tilted in favor of sellers.
Looking at the national picture, while a significant portion of home buyers have been priced
out of single-family homes, demand is currently strong for condos as shown by prices rising
6.8% over the past year (non-condo prices are flat). As a result, the affordability deterioration
was more pronounced in this segment (vs. non-condo) in each of the last four quarters (right
chart).

Full Report

Post Category: News and Press Releases
November 15, 2018
Home prices fall in October

Home prices are showing signs of weakness at the national level (left chart), but the
market is far from being homogeneous. For example, Vancouver showed no gain for a
third month in a row, for a cumulative loss of 1.2%. Moreover, the weakness extends to
condos as well as to more expensive dwellings. This is consistent with the fact that since
the beginning of the year, home sales declined markedly in both segments. For Toronto,
the picture is mixed, with condos prices still remaining on an upward trend. Montreal is
at the other end of the spectrum. The second largest metropolitan region in Canada
enjoyed the most vigourous home resale market over the last few months (right chart).
But with interest rates set to rise again in the coming months, we don’t see much upside
for home prices.

To read the full report, please click on the link below:

November 2018

Methodology
HPI Methodology
 
Introduction to Index
Introduction to Index
 
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