Teranet–National Bank House Price Index™

After experiencing modest increases since the start of 2024, house prices in Canada’s major urban centers remained stable in June, while market conditions for the housing market continue to indicate balanced conditions between buyers and sellers. It’s true that the beginning of the monetary easing cycle in June encouraged more buyers to take action during the month, but we didn’t see a major wave of new transactions that could have put upward pressure on prices. While record population growth, a shortage of housing supply and upcoming rate cuts by the Bank of Canada will continue to support the Canadian real estate market in the months ahead, we are cautiously optimistic about the magnitude of any recovery in the housing market in the coming months, and its potential impact on prices. Indeed, many uncertainties remain, including the risk of a further deterioration in the labour market, particularly among young people who are facing the worst affordability conditions in decades. It’s true that consumer confidence has been somewhat reinvigorated by the start of overnight rate cuts, but interest rates remain in highly restrictive territory for the time being.

July 2024