Post Category: Monthly Reports
August 19, 2024

Teranet-National Bank House Price Index remained relatively stable again in July

MONTH-OVER-MONTH

After adjusting for seasonal effects, the Teranet-National Bank Composite House Price Index, which covers the country’s eleven largest CMAs, remained relatively stable from June to July, with a marginal increase of 0.2%, following the stabilization also observed the previous month. In July, six of the 11 CMAs included in the index recorded growth: Hamilton (+2.3%), Victoria (+1.0%), Halifax (+0.8%), Calgary (+0.7%), Toronto (+0.3%) and Quebec City (+0.2%). Conversely, prices fell in Ottawa-Gatineau (-0.4%), Winnipeg (-0.1%), Vancouver (-0.1%) and Montreal (-0.1%), while they remained stable in Edmonton during the month. On the other hand, price increases were observed in ten of the 20 CMAs not included in the composite index for which data are available in July. The strongest monthly increases were seen in Saint John (+4.1% after a 6.5% fall the previous month) and Guelph (+2.0%). Conversely, the biggest declines were in Moncton (-2.7%) and Brantford (-2.3%).

Before seasonal adjustments, the Teranet-National Bank Composite House Price Index rose by 0.3% from June to July, the sixth consecutive monthly increase. Moreover, increases were observed in eight of the 11 cities making up the index, ranging from +3.0% in Winnipeg to +0.2% in Vancouver and Ottawa-Gatineau. Conversely, the markets of Montreal (-0.7%), Halifax (-0.2%) and Toronto (-0.1%) were down.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR

The Teranet-National Bank Composite Home Price Index rose by 2.0% from July 2023 to July 2024, less than the 3.6% increase recorded the previous month. Increases were observed in ten of the 11 cities making up the composite index in July. Calgary led the way with a 15.1% year-on-year price increase, followed by Edmonton with an 8.4% gain and Quebec City with 7.5% growth. As for the lagging markets, prices rose less than average in Victoria (+0.6%) and Hamilton (+1.3%), while they fell in Toronto (-1.4%). As for the other 20 CMAs not included in the composite index, annual gains were observed in thirteen of them. Among the rising markets, the strongest growth was recorded in Trois-Rivières (+10.8%) and Saint John (+10.1%). Conversely, the markets with the biggest declines were Peterborough (-3.9%) and Kitchener (-2.3%).

Metropolitan area % change m/m % change m/m, SA % change y/y From peak Peak date
Report By:

Daren King
Economist
Economics and Strategy Group
National Bank of Canada

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ thanks the author for his special collaboration on this report.

The historical data of the Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is available™ at www.housepriceindex.ca.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is estimated by tracking observed or registered home prices over time using data collected from public land registries. All dwellings that have been sold at least twice are considered in the calculation of the index. This is known as the repeat sales method; for a complete description of the methodology, contact us.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of average home price changes in eleven metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montreal, Quebec City, Halifax. The national composite 11 index is the weighted average of the eleven metropolitan areas.

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The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of the rate of change of Canadian single-family home prices.  The measurements are based on the property records of public land registries. The monthly indices cover eleven Canadian metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montréal, Québec City, Halifax. The metropolitan areas are combined to form a Canadian composite index.

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Derek Tinney
Director, Product
Teranet Inc.
Phone: 604-751-2252
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Michael Pertsis
Director, Mortgage Derivatives
National Bank Financial
Phone: 416-869-7124
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