Post Category: Rapports mensuels
June 12, 2015

Les Prix Des Maisons En Hausse De 0,9 % En Mai

En mai, l’Indice Composite National de Prix de Maison Teranet – Banque NationaleMC a augmenté de 0,9 %, une cinquième hausse de suite. À 0,9 %, cette hausse est toutefois un peu inférieure à la moyenne des 14 dernières années pour un mois de mai, qui est de 1,1 %. C’est ainsi parce que Calgary, où une chute mensuelle record de 3,3 % a été enregistrée, retranche trois dixièmes de point de pourcentage à la croissance de l’indice composite. À Calgary, les prix n’avaient pas été aussi bas depuis avril 2014. En contraste, les prix ont augmenté en mai dans toutes les dix autres régions métropolitaines couvertes par l’indice. Une telle généralisation avait été vue pour la dernière fois en août 2014. Les prix ont crû de 2,3 % à Halifax, de 1,6 % à Toronto et Montréal, de 1,5 % à Ottawa-Gatineau, de 1,3 % à Vancouver, de 0,9 % à Québec, 0,6% à Hamilton et Edmonton, 0,5 % à Victoria et 0,2 % à Winnipeg. La hausse des prix à Ottawa-Gatineau survient après une séquence de huit baisses en neuf mois. Dans les autres centres situés à l’est de Toronto, soit Montréal, Québec et Halifax, les prix ont augmenté plutôt fortement au cours des trois derniers mois après des corrections qui ont duré de quatre à sept mois selon le cas. Ceci laisse croire que ces marchés sont stimulés par les taux d’intérêt hypothécaires historiquement bas. L’indice composite a atteint un nouveau record en mai, et cela fut vérifié dans quatre des 11 régions métropolitaines couvertes, soit Toronto, Vancouver, Hamilton et Québec.

En mai, l’indice composite a augmenté de 4,6 % par rapport à il y a 12 mois, une accélération par rapport à avril. La croissance des prix a largement dépassé la moyenne nationale à Toronto (7,6 %), Hamilton et Vancouver (6,2 %). La croissance fut voisine de la moyenne à Victoria et Edmonton (4,8 %). Elle fut largement sous la moyenne nationale à Québec (2,9 %), Montréal (1,5 %), Winnipeg (1,0 %) et Halifax (0,4%). Il y a eu déflation du prix des maisons sur 12 mois à Ottawa-Gatineau (-0,9 %) et pour la première fois à Calgary (-1,4 %) depuis juillet 2011.

Metropolitan area Index Level % change m/m % change y/y From peak Peak date
Report By:

Marc Pinsonneault
Économiste principal
Groupe économie et stratégie
Banque Nationale du Canada

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ thanks the author for his special collaboration on this report.

The historical data of the Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is available™ at www.housepriceindex.ca.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is estimated by tracking observed or registered home prices over time using data collected from public land registries. All dwellings that have been sold at least twice are considered in the calculation of the index. This is known as the repeat sales method; for a complete description of the methodology, contact us.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of average home price changes in eleven metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montreal, Quebec City, Halifax. The national composite 11 index is the weighted average of the eleven metropolitan areas.

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The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of the rate of change of Canadian single-family home prices.  The measurements are based on the property records of public land registries. The monthly indices cover eleven Canadian metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montréal, Québec City, Halifax. The metropolitan areas are combined to form a Canadian composite index.

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