Post Category: Rapports mensuels
July 13, 2016

Les Prix Des Maisons En Hausse De 2,3 % En Juin

En juin, l’Indice Composite National de Prix de Maison Teranet – Banque NationaleMC a crû de 2,3 %. Il s’agit de la plus forte montée pour un mois de juin dans les annales, l’indice Composite débutant en 1999. Au cours du dernier mois, les prix ont monté dans 10 des 11 régions métropolitaines couvertes. La croissance mensuelle des prix dépasse la moyenne nationale dans six régions sur 11. Ainsi, en juin dernier, l’indice a gagné 4,4 % à Victoria, 3,7 % à Halifax, 3,3 % à Toronto, 2.6% à Vancouver et à Ottawa-Gatineau et 2,4 % à Hamilton. Quoique sous la moyenne, d’autres fortes augmentations sont survenues à Québec (1,7 %), Winnipeg (1,3 %) et Montréal (1,0%). Il est clair que le niveau élevé courant des ventes de logements existants qu’on observe un peu partout stimule les prix. Seul Calgary (0,2 %) a connu une croissance modeste, alors que les prix ont diminué à Edmonton (-0.3 %). À Vancouver, il s’agissait d’un dix-huitième mois d’affilée sans diminution de prix, l’indice établissant chaque fois un nouveau record. Pour Toronto, il s’agit d’une treizième hausse en quatorze mois, des records successifs ayant été établis au cours des cinq derniers. Les prix ont atteint un record au cours des deux derniers mois à Victoria, tandis qu’un record a été atteint en juin à Winnipeg.

Depuis février, les prix progressent de plus de 2 % par mois à Vancouver. Pas étonnant que sur 12 mois, la hausse atteigne maintenant 23,4 %, la plus forte dans les annales. Ceci reflète les conditions très serrées sur le marché de la revente, à en juger par les inscriptions et les ventes publiées par la Chambre immobilière du Grand Vancouver. Au chapitre de la croissance des prix sur 12 mois, Vancouver est suivie de loin par Hamilton (13,8 %), Toronto (12,8 %) et Victoria (12,5 %). Ces quatre régions métropolitaines expliquent que l’indice Composite soit en hausse de 10.0 %, le plus fort glissement annuel en six ans. La croissance des prix sur 12 mois est très en-deçà de la moyenne à Winnipeg (1,7 %), Ottawa-Gatineau (1,4 %) et Montréal (+0,5 %). Il y a eu déflation du prix des maisons depuis 12 mois à Halifax (-0,7 %), Québec (-1.4%), Edmonton (-1,9 %) et Calgary (-2,4%). La croissance des prix à Hamilton est la plus forte à y avoir été enregistrée dans l’histoire de l’indice.

Metropolitan area Index Level % change m/m % change y/y From peak Peak date
Report By:

Marc Pinsonneault
Économiste principal
Groupe économie et stratégie
Banque Nationale du Canada

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ thanks the author for his special collaboration on this report.

The historical data of the Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is available™ at www.housepriceindex.ca.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is estimated by tracking observed or registered home prices over time using data collected from public land registries. All dwellings that have been sold at least twice are considered in the calculation of the index. This is known as the repeat sales method; for a complete description of the methodology, contact us.

The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of average home price changes in eleven metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montreal, Quebec City, Halifax. The national composite 11 index is the weighted average of the eleven metropolitan areas.

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The Teranet-National Bank House Price Index™ is an independently developed representation of the rate of change of Canadian single-family home prices.  The measurements are based on the property records of public land registries. The monthly indices cover eleven Canadian metropolitan areas: Victoria, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa-Gatineau, Montréal, Québec City, Halifax. The metropolitan areas are combined to form a Canadian composite index.

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