Post Category: Monthly Reports
August 20, 2019
Smallest 12-month rise in almost 10 years

In July the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price IndexTM was up 0.7% from the month before. As in the two previous months, the gain was not really a sign of countrywide market vigour, since the 21-year average for the month is 1.0%. As in May and June, it was only because of seasonal pressure […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
August 20, 2019
Home price deflation about to ebb in Western Canada?

The national HPI has grown at a below-inflation rate of 0.4% over the last 12 months, the smallest gain since November 2009. However, the weakness is not regionally broad-based. The national HPI has been depressed by Vancouver’s index loss of 6.2% during this period, corresponding to a 12-month string without a gain. Other Western metropolitan […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
August 12, 2019
Biggest improvement in a decade for housing affordability

Affordability improved in Q2 by the most since 2009 as measured by the urban composite index. All the observed markets registered an amelioration in the quarter (left chart). The most significant factor to this development was the decline in  mortgage rates. Indeed, the free-fall in financings costs was the most substantial since 2010Q3. This combined […]

Post Category: Monthly Reports
July 18, 2019
Without the seasonal boost, the composite home price index would have been down in June

In June the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price IndexTM was up 0.8% from the month before. The rise was on the small side for a month of June – the 21-year average for the month is 1.2%. As in May, it was only because of seasonal pressure that the index rose at all. If […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
July 18, 2019
Almost no annual growth for national HPI

The national HPI has grown at a below-inflation rate of 0.5% over the last 12 months, the smallest gain since November 2009. Moreover, the fact that monthly gains are reported for May and June does not mean that the market recently turned the corner. These two months typically register the strongest growth rates in a […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
June 26, 2019
Housing affordability improves in 2019 Q1 amid healthy labour market

Affordability improved in Q1 by the most since 2014 as measured by the urban composite index as eight of the ten urban markets progressed in the quarter (left chart). The healthy labour market was the largest contributor to this development via a significant increase in income (+1.0%) that outpaced the increase in home prices (+0.3%) […]

Post Category: Monthly Reports
June 19, 2019
Home price index up in May for the first time in nine months

In May the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price IndexTM was up 0.5% from the month before,[1] the first monthly gain in nine months. On the other hand, for a month of May it was the smallest rise in 21 years of index history. If seasonally adjusted, the index would have been down 0.4% on […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
June 19, 2019
The national HPI grew at its slowest annual pace in this cycle

One should not rejoice about the first rise in home prices in seven months as May is historically the second strongest month of the year. In effect, the 0.5% increase represents the weakest performance on record for a month of May. As a result, the annual increase moderated to 0.7%, the lowest since the recession […]

Post Category: Monthly Reports
May 14, 2019
April: Eighth consecutive month without a rise in the composite index

In April the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price IndexTM was flat from the previous month.[1] Apart from the 2009 recession period, it was the first April in 21 years of index history in which home prices showed no rise. And the run of months with no rise in the composite index has now extended […]

Post Category: News and Economic Reports
May 14, 2019
Is the resale market stabilizing?

While the Composite Teranet-National Bank HPI dropped again in April, there are signs of stabilization. April’s decline in the Composite index is the smallest in months. The cumulative decline over this seven-month stretch is only 1.8%, a moderate loss compared to the 2008-2009 recession, and even compared to shorter sequences of drops that occurred since […]