Post Category: News and Economic Reports
March 13, 2019
Price weakness spreads to almost all regions

In February, the downward trend in home prices continued with the Composite Teranet-National Bank HPI slipping for a fifth month in a row (left chart). Moreover, the weakness extended to most regions. In the 11 metropolitan areas comprised in the Composite Index, only one (Montreal) experienced an increase of the index over the last six months. Among the 14 other metropolitan areas for which we have a HPI, only London and Windsor did so. This was the lowest diffusion of six-month gains in ten years for a month of February (right chart). Home prices are adjusting to the recent rise in interest rates and stricter mortgage qualification rules. But price weakness does not mean collapse. In Toronto, Canada’s most important real estate market, apartment prices have been up for 16 consecutive months, while prices of other types of dwellings declined only 1.2% over the last 6 months. In Vancouver, where employment was up 3.1% on a y/y basis in February, seasonally adjusted home sales stabilized in the beginning of the year, limiting the potential of further home price declines.

March 2019


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